Horizonte vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
HOR
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 1
FLU
15%
22%
64%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
HOR
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
ICA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 3
CEA
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 3
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
GUA
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |