Horizonte vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
GUA
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 4
HOR
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
TIR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
HOR
23%
22%
56%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
4 - 2
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 0
CEA
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
ICA
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
27%
26%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 1
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |