Horizonte vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FLO
1 - 1
HOR
32%
23%
45%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
IGU
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
FLO
0 - 0
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |