Horizonte vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
HOR
31%
23%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
HOR
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 0
HOR
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
FOR
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
GUA
31%
21%
48%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
0 - 0
GUA
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAC
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |