Horizonte vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 1
SAO
75%
17%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 3
FOR
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
QUI
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |