Horizonte vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
FER
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
TIR
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
4 - 1
ICA
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 2
HOR
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ICA
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 3
TIR
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |