Horizonte vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 4
HOR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
4 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
GLO
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
GUA
39%
28%
34%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |