Horizonte vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 1
FLU
15%
22%
64%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
HOR
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
HOR
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
FOR
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
GUA
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |