Horizonte vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.7%
75.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 2
HOR
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
HOR
55%
22%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 0
CAU
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 1
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 0
MOT
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CFS
0 - 1
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MIA
0 - 7
FOR
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 41 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
SCI
51%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |