Horizonte vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 0
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
GUA
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 3
FOR
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |