Horizonte vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
HOR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
QUI
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
BOV
3 - 2
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
0 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
MAR
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 4
FOR
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
FER
1 - 3
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 0
QUI
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |