Horizonte vs Floresta EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FER
4 - 0
HOR
39%
24%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TIR
2 - 2
FLO
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
IGU
1 - 0
FLO
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FLO
1 - 1
AAF
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AAF
0 - 4
FLO
10%
15%
75%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |