Horizonte vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
TIR
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
4 - 1
ICA
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 2
HOR
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
4 - 2
CRA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FER
2 - 3
ICA
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
FER
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 3
FER
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |