Horizonte vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
HOR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
QUI
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FER
3 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SER
2 - 0
FER
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 2
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |