Horizonte vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
HOR
31%
23%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
HOR
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 1
YPI
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
HOR
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 2
GUA
37%
24%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
CRA
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
5 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |