Horizonte vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
HOR
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 3
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
HOR
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 3
HOR
38%
23%
39%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 4
CEA
13%
19%
67%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |