Horizonte vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 0
HOR
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 2
CEA
22%
23%
56%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
4 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
HOR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 1
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
TIR
3 - 2
CRA
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
8%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |