Horizonte vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
HOR
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 5
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
0 - 3
CRA
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
4 - 0
FOR
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |