Horizonte vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 1
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
HOR
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
QUI
66%
19%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
CEA
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CRB
2 - 0
CEA
22%
24%
53%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |