Horizonte vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
GUA
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 4
HOR
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
CEA
11%
21%
68%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 0
CEA
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 4
CEA
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |