Horizonte vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
4 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
HOR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 1
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 1
HOR
27%
23%
50%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 0
CEA
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
ATP
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
CEA
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |