Horizonte vs Boa Viagem EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
HOR
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
CRA
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
HOR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 5
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boa Viagem EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
3 - 2
CEA
15%
21%
65%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOV
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
0 - 3
CRA
49%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
2 - 2
BOV
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |