Horizonte vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
IGU
1 - 1
HOR
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
HOR
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
UNI
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
IGU
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
GUA
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |