Horitschon vs Halbturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+183%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
4º
16º
4º
32
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 4
HOR
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
SPG
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
1 - 5
HOR
16%
17%
68%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 0
USV
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
10 - 2
HOR
22%
20%
57%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
PAR
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
HAL
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 3
RIT
4%
9%
87%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
HAL
90%
7%
2%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 5
DEU
5%
10%
85%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | -1 |