Horitschon vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KLI
2 - 0
HOR
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 1
DEU
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
HOR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 2
NEU
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SVS
3 - 0
HOR
52%
23%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STM
1 - 2
KLI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
DEU
0 - 2
STM
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STM
1 - 2
MAT
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
NEU
1 - 2
STM
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
STM
1 - 0
SVS
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |