Horitschon vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
OBE
5 - 0
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
DRA
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
31%
24%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
HOR
6 - 0
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
PUR
2 - 0
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
STM
1 - 4
OBE
20%
24%
56%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DRA
4 - 1
STM
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
STM
2 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
STG
0 - 1
STM
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
STM
2 - 4
PUR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |