Horitschon vs Ritzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
15º
10º
58
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
HOR
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 3
KLI
19%
20%
60%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
HOR
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
2 - 1
HOR
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 2
LEI
36%
23%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
RIT
2 - 0
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 3
RIT
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
RIT
1 - 0
LEI
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
RIT
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
OBR
1 - 2
RIT
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |