Horitschon vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
74%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
15º
10º
63
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASK
3 - 0
HOR
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 1
GUS
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 2
HOR
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 0
DEU
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
USV
1 - 1
HOR
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
4 - 2
PAR
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
LEI
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
STM
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 1
PAR
8%
14%
79%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |