Horitschon vs Parndorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
HOR
4 - 4
STM
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FCW
1 - 2
HOR
24%
21%
54%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
SCO
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
OBE
2 - 4
HOR
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 1
KLI
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parndorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
6 - 1
FCW
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SCO
2 - 3
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
OBE
19%
24%
57%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
KLI
1 - 1
PAR
55%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
STI
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |