Horitschon vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
HOR
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 1
STM
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 3
HOR
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 0
PUR
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STI
1 - 1
HOR
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAU
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PIN
2 - 4
MAR
46%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
STG
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 1
MAR
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
GUS
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |