Horitschon vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
STM
1 - 2
HOR
45%
23%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 1
NEU
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PUR
3 - 1
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
STI
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
JEN
1 - 1
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
5 - 4
BAU
38%
23%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 3
FOR
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
STG
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
SIG
4 - 4
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
GUS
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |