Horitschon vs FC Deutschkreutz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
15º
10º
41
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
USV
1 - 1
HOR
29%
21%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 4
OBR
25%
20%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
HOR
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 0
RIT
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
HOR
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deutschkreutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DEU
2 - 1
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 0
DEU
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DEU
0 - 3
LEI
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
5 - 0
DEU
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
DEU
2 - 2
ASK
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |