Horitschon vs Bad Sauerbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JEN
0 - 2
HOR
11%
15%
75%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 7
HOR
13%
16%
72%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 3
DEU
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 2
HOR
33%
21%
47%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 2
SPG
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 1
STM
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 3
BAS
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
MAT
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
HAL
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
JEN
0 - 0
BAS
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |