Horitschon vs Bad Sauerbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
4º
16º
4º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KLI
3 - 1
HOR
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 0
HOR
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 1
LEI
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIT
1 - 1
HOR
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 3
ASV
9%
17%
74%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
PAR
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 1
BAS
54%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
RIT
22%
20%
59%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 2
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
DEU
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |