Horitschon vs Siegendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
4º
16º
4º
74
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
3 - 3
HOR
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 4
HOR
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
SPG
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
1 - 5
HOR
16%
17%
68%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Siegendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
4 - 3
PAR
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
0 - 3
ASV
15%
18%
67%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
RIT
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KLI
2 - 3
ASV
12%
17%
72%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 4
ASV
10%
16%
74%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |