Horitschon vs Edelserpentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
4º
16º
4º
33
3º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
1 - 5
HOR
16%
17%
68%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 0
USV
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
10 - 2
HOR
22%
20%
57%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
DRA
7 - 1
HOR
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 2
HOR
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Edelserpentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 1
PAR
5%
11%
85%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
4 - 0
SPG
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
RIT
4%
9%
88%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | +2 |