Budapest Honvéd II vs Penzugyor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
11º
6º
12
7º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 65 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 61 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 35 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 31 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 17 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honvéd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
HOD
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HON
3 - 2
BDP
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HON
3 - 1
MON
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
HON
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HON
8 - 0
CEG
87%
10%
4%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Penzugyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
GYU
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BKV
0 - 1
PEN
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCH
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
BUD
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |