Budapest Honvéd II vs Penzugyor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
13º
11º
32
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honvéd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CEG
2 - 5
HON
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
HOD
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BDP
1 - 2
HON
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
MSK
44%
22%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 0
HON
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Penzugyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
MLS
73%
16%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FUZ
1 - 0
PEN
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
KTE
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SZO
1 - 1
PEN
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |