Hongg vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
13º
12º
26
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 63 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 2
HON
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HON
2 - 3
TUG
15%
21%
65%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 2
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
HON
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
STG
13%
18%
70%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
YFJ
0 - 2
SIO
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
YFJ
0 - 0
FCC
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STG
0 - 2
YFJ
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YFJ
8 - 2
UZW
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 3
YFJ
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +2 |