Hongg vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
RAP
2 - 3
HON
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
FCM
2 - 0
HON
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HON
1 - 2
MEN
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 0
HON
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HON
2 - 1
FCT
20%
24%
56%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
WIN
2 - 3
FCM
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
MEN
1 - 0
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WIN
3 - 3
ESC
24%
22%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 1
WIN
55%
23%
23%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WIN
3 - 2
FCG
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |