Hongg vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
13º
10º
16
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 60% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 2
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
HON
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
STG
13%
18%
70%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UZW
2 - 2
HON
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MEN
5 - 4
HON
48%
26%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
3 - 0
FCC
71%
17%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
TUG
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
0 - 2
SCH
17%
19%
64%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
2 - 1
UZW
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
TUG
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |