Hongg vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
69.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
13º
10º
10
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UZW
2 - 2
HON
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MEN
5 - 4
HON
48%
26%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
YFJ
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TUG
2 - 0
HON
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
ESC
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 0
FCC
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SCA
2 - 1
STG
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ETO
5 - 1
STG
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STG
1 - 1
CHA
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAV
1 - 2
STG
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |