Hongg vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TUG
5 - 1
HON
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HON
1 - 2
WIN
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
STG
2 - 0
HON
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HON
0 - 4
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 1
HON
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 0
FCG
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 3
LUZ
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
0 - 2
YFJ
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
0 - 2
MEN
60%
21%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |