Hongg vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
16º
9º
55
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TUG
1 - 2
HON
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SOL
4 - 1
HON
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
HON
1 - 2
KOS
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
HON
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HON
0 - 1
WOH
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 3
LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ASS
4 - 0
LUG
88%
10%
2%
|
34 | 76 | 42 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 2
FCW
18%
24%
58%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 2
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 3
BAD
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |