Hongg vs Lenzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DUL
0 - 2
HON
39%
24%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HON
3 - 2
ILI
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AAR
4 - 0
HON
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ZOF
2 - 3
HON
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
HON
3 - 3
LEN
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
OLT
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 1
LEN
26%
20%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 4
PAJ
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LEN
7 - 2
FCG
89%
8%
4%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
HON
3 - 3
LEN
65%
18%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |