Hongg vs Kosova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
16º
9º
33
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KRE
2 - 1
HON
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HON
1 - 2
LIN
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 0
HON
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HON
0 - 5
LUG
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TUG
1 - 2
HON
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Kosova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 2
KOS
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCW
2 - 1
KOS
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
KOS
1 - 2
LUG
32%
23%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
KOS
1 - 1
FRE
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
4 - 1
KOS
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |