Hongg vs Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AAR
4 - 0
HON
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ZOF
2 - 3
HON
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
HON
3 - 3
LEN
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FCG
0 - 5
HON
10%
17%
73%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
HON
3 - 2
PAJ
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
ILI
0 - 1
OLT
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FCG
0 - 2
ILI
22%
20%
59%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |