Hongg vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MEN
0 - 4
HON
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HON
1 - 3
ESC
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCW
3 - 3
HON
51%
22%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
HON
1 - 0
WIN
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 4
HON
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FCT
2 - 3
STG
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 1
FCT
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 1
KOS
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
TUG
4 - 0
FCT
68%
17%
14%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 4
HON
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |