Hongg vs Oerlikon / Polizei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCW
2 - 2
HON
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HON
2 - 1
KUS
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCW
1 - 2
HON
75%
17%
9%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HON
0 - 1
RSZ
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
KOS
0 - 1
HON
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 2
SEE
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCO
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 1
SCH
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 1
FCO
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 2
DUL
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -1 |