Hongg vs Eschen/Mauren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
13º
12º
18
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 63 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
HON
0 - 1
YFJ
21%
24%
56%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 2
HON
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HON
2 - 3
TUG
15%
21%
65%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 2
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
HON
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ESC
2 - 0
FCC
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 4
ESC
13%
15%
72%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
ESC
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 3
UZW
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
ESC
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |